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The normal distribution

Move the mean μ and the standard deviation σ, then ask a question. The curve is the density; the shaded area under it is the probability the question asks for.

Parameters

μ = 0

μ (mean)

σ = 1

σ (standard deviation)

Ask a question

x = 1.96

x (threshold)

Compare with

P(X ≤ 1.96) = 0.9750

P(X ≤ 1.96) = F(1.96) = 0.9750

X is a measurement, so a single value has probability 0 and the boundary makes no difference: P(X < x) = P(X ≤ x) = F(x).

Summary

Measure N(μ = 0, σ = 1)
mean 0.0000
variance 1.0000
standard deviation 1.0000
skewness 0.0000

The same in code

Python (scipy.stats)
norm.cdf(1.96, loc=0, scale=1)
Excel
=NORM.DIST(1.96, 0, 1, TRUE)

Formulas

Try this

0 of 4 done
  1. The 68-95-99.7 rule

    On the standard normal, ask for P(−1 ≤ X ≤ 1), then widen the ends to ±2 and ±3.

    Look for: The areas are 0.6827, 0.9545 and 0.9973. Any normal gives the same areas between μ ± 1σ, 2σ and 3σ.

  2. Density is not probability

    Set σ = 0.2.

    Look for: The peak rises to about 2, above 1. The height is a density; only areas are probabilities, and the total area is still 1.

  3. Exact, not from a table

    Open the preset for an effect within 11.5 hours.

    Look for: The exact area is 0.3415. The course quotes 0.3412, read from a z-table with z rounded to two decimals; the lab computes the area directly.

  4. Heavier tails

    Compare the standard normal with Student's t at ν = 3 and ask for P(X > 2).

    Look for: The normal leaves 0.0228 beyond 2, the t 0.0697, about three times as much. Raise ν and the difference shrinks; by ν = 30 it has nearly gone.

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